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Nigeria's Budget Office Clarifies 'Fake Agency' Scandal
PoliticsPremium Times1mo ago

Nigeria's Budget Office Clarifies 'Fake Agency' Scandal

The Director General of Nigeria's Budget Office, Tanimu Yakubu, issued a statement clarifying that the public had conflated parliamentary appropriation with government expenditure in the 'fake agency' scandal, asserting that budgetary provisions never advanced beyond the initial stage.

Businesswapo2mo ago

Secret Service Funds Redirected to White House Security

The budget office has redirected an unusually large sum of $352 million in Secret Service funds towards White House security, amid revelations that a presidential ballroom project will rely more on taxpayer money than initially disclosed.

US Debates Defense Spending Amid Iran Conflict Concerns
WorldBBCbloombergNYT+68FTwapoThe GuardianNPRAl Jazeeradr-dkFox Newscbc+60 more3mo ago71 sources

US Debates Defense Spending Amid Iran Conflict Concerns

The Trump administration's proposed multi-trillion dollar defense budget, including a costly 'Golden Dome' missile defense system, is being debated in Congress. This comes amidst ongoing concerns about the Iran conflict, its economic impact, and calls for US support for regime change.

War Impact on GDP Forecasted by UPB
WorldANSA4mo ago

War Impact on GDP Forecasted by UPB

The Parliamentary Budget Office (UPB) has forecasted that the ongoing war could impact GDP by up to 0.4 percentage points in both 2026 and 2027. This assessment highlights the potential economic consequences of the conflict over the coming years.

Trump Orders Airport Security Pay Amid Longest US Government Shutdown
BusinessAPbloombergNYT+14wsjFTThe GuardianCNNFox NewscnbcDWSCMP+6 more5mo ago17 sources

Trump Orders Airport Security Pay Amid Longest US Government Shutdown

The US Department of Homeland Security funding lapse, now the longest partial shutdown, continues to cause airport chaos. President Trump has ordered airport security personnel to receive their payroll to alleviate staffing shortages and long queues.

80% Plunge In Immigration Is Reshaping Labor Market Math, But AI Wildcard Looms: Goldman
Businesszerohedge6mo ago

80% Plunge In Immigration Is Reshaping Labor Market Math, But AI Wildcard Looms: Goldman

80% Plunge In Immigration Is Reshaping Labor Market Math, But AI Wildcard Looms: Goldman The Trump administration's crackdown on illegal immigration has resulted in an 80% collapse in net immigration to the USA, and has fundamentally altered the mathematics behind the nation's labor supply to the point where the level of job growth needed to maintain economic stability is now far lower, according to a new Goldman analysis.  After a flood of more than 10.8 million illegal immigrants (official figure) entered the United States under Biden, net immigration - both legal and illegal - has gone from roughly one million people per year in the 2010s to around 500,000 in 2025, with a further drop to just 200,000 projected by Goldman for 2026. This has sharply reduced labor-force growth and lowered the economy's "breakeven" pace of job creation, the bank opines. Here's Goldman vs. Brookings vs. the Congressional Budget Office on net immigration: Now, the US will only need around 50,000 new jobs per month by the end of this year to keep the unemployment rate from rising, down from roughly 70,000 today. At the same time, Goldman says labor demand still looks "shaky" because job growth is narrow and job openings are trending lower - with the main downside risk being a faster, more disruptive AI-driven adjustment that could tamp down hiring or raise job losses beyond current estimates.  Elevated deportations, tighter visa / green-card policies, a pause in immigrant visa processing that affects dozens of countries, and the loss of Temporary Protected Status for some groups, Goldman suggests there is additional downside risk to the workforce. A shakier demand picture Of course, new math on the labor supply doesn't mean the labor market is strong (duh)... In fact, Goldman describes demand as “shaky,” writing that job growth has become increasingly narrow - dominated by healthcare - and that job openings have continued to fall. Openings are now around seven million, below pre-pandemic levels and still declining. Because fewer new workers are entering the economy, hiring no longer needs to run as hot to prevent unemployment from drifting higher. “A small pickup is all that should be needed to sustain job growth at the breakeven pace,” according to the report, arguing that weaker-looking payroll numbers may increasingly mask a labor market that is merely treading water rather than deteriorating. Official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show a similar trend, with job openings drifting toward the mid-six-million range late last year. A continued slide in openings, Goldman warns, would increase the risk that unemployment rises more meaningfully, even with slower labor-force growth. There is also a risk that tighter immigration enforcement is pushing more workers into informal or off-the-books employment. If so, official payroll data could understate the true level of labor-market activity, complicating the Federal Reserve’s task of gauging economic momentum. AI looms as the wildcard Goldman sees artificial intelligence (AI) as the largest downside risk to the labor outlook - not because it has already triggered mass layoffs, but because it may restrain hiring at the margin. So far, the firm estimates that AI-related substitution has shaved only 5,000 to 10,000 jobs from monthly growth in the most exposed industries. But a faster or more disruptive deployment could weigh more heavily on demand. ...the main reason that we worry about downside risk to our baseline forecast that the labor market will stabilize going forward is the possibility of a faster and more disruptive deployment of artificial intelligence (AI). While plenty of recent anecdotes point to a potentially faster rate of adoption and corresponding job losses, it is hard to know how these will translate to macroeconomic outcomes. -Goldman The bank shows that job growth has slowed and turned slightly negative in several subindustries where AI is most ready to deploy, while company-level anecdotes indicate that AI is already reducing the need for workers. The impact, while visible, remains 'moderate' so far.  For now, the bank expects the unemployment rate to drift only modestly higher, toward 4.5%, while Goldman chief economist Jan Hatzius said in a separate note (available to Pro subs) that the probability of a recession next year is "moderate" at 20%. The labor market, in the firm’s words, is taking “early steps toward stabilization.” The paradox is that stability may increasingly look like weakness. As immigration slows and the workforce grows more slowly, payroll gains that once signaled trouble may soon be enough to keep the labor market steady - at least on paper. h/t Capital.news Tyler Durden Wed, 02/18/2026 - 19:40

Greece's Vacant Homes Blamed for Housing Crisis
Financeprotothema-en2mo ago

Greece's Vacant Homes Blamed for Housing Crisis

A study by the Parliamentary Budget Office in Greece suggests that vacant homes are a primary cause of the country's housing crisis, with prices increasing by up to 96%. The study argues that bringing these homes back to the market is key to solving the issue.

Oil & Gas revenue Executive Order constitutional, says D-G Budget
Politicsvanguard-ng6mo ago

Oil & Gas revenue Executive Order constitutional, says D-G Budget

Emma Ujah, Abuja Bureau Chief The Director-General (D-G) of the Budget Office of the Federation (BoF), Mr. Tanimu Yakubu, has described as “constitutional,” the recent Executive Order (EO9) by President Bola Tinubu, for direct payment of oil and gas revenues into the Federation Account. In a statement he personally issued in Abuja, on Monday, Mr. […] The post Oil & Gas revenue Executive Order constitutional, says D-G Budget appeared first on Vanguard News.

Budget Office Denies Release of N1.32bn to PFIPC
Businessvanguard-ng1mo ago

Budget Office Denies Release of N1.32bn to PFIPC

The Director-General of Nigeria's Budget Office of the Federation, Tanimu Yakubu, stated that despite budgetary provisions, no funds were released to the Presidential Foreign Investment Promotion Council (PFIPC) regarding a controversial N1.32 billion allocation.

Trump Administration Reallocates Funds and Implements Policy Changes
BusinessBBCbloombergNYT+45FTwapoThe GuardianNPRFox Newsnrknzzcnbc+37 more2mo ago48 sources

Trump Administration Reallocates Funds and Implements Policy Changes

The Trump administration redirected millions from the Secret Service for White House construction and made various policy changes, including temporarily cutting student loan interest rates. The administration also bid farewell to an Air Force One aircraft and engaged in discussions regarding AI security rules.