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China Sanctions 10 US Defense and Tech Firms in Retaliation
PoliticsFTNPRAl Jazeera+23cnbcle-figaroFrance 24NHK Worldorfrzeczpospolitade-volkskrantdie-presse+15 more1mo ago26 sources

China Sanctions 10 US Defense and Tech Firms in Retaliation

China has imposed sanctions on ten US defense and technology companies, including a rare-earth miner, and restricted 46 from government procurement. This move comes weeks after the Pentagon blacklisted several Chinese firms, escalating tensions between the two nations.

EU Addresses Housing Shortages, Defense Procurement, and Digital Market Rules
WorldFTAl Jazeeranos+54ruvtagesschauDWlsm-lvder-standardirozhlasorfrzeczpospolita+46 more2mo ago57 sources

EU Addresses Housing Shortages, Defense Procurement, and Digital Market Rules

The European Union is tackling various issues, including a significant housing deficit across member states and streamlining defense procurement processes. Additionally, the EU is enforcing digital market regulations, such as ordering Meta to open WhatsApp to rival AI chatbots.

Trump Administration Halts $1.8 Billion Fund, Proposes Brazil Tariffs
PoliticsAPReutersBBC+43bloombergNYTFTThe GuardianNPRAl JazeeraFox Newscbc+35 more2mo ago46 sources

Trump Administration Halts $1.8 Billion Fund, Proposes Brazil Tariffs

The Trump administration has put a controversial $1.8 billion 'weaponization' fund on hold following congressional opposition. Concurrently, the administration proposed a 25% tariff on Brazilian imports, citing unfair trade practices.

Xi Jinping Honors Serbian President Vučić Amid Deepening China-Serbia Ties
WorldbloombergNYTAl Jazeera+35DWle-figaroSCMPNHK Worldmorgunbladiddelfi-ltdelodigi24+27 more2mo ago38 sources

Xi Jinping Honors Serbian President Vučić Amid Deepening China-Serbia Ties

Chinese President Xi Jinping awarded Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić the Order of Friendship during his visit to Beijing, emphasizing the deepening cooperation between China and Serbia. This visit comes as Vučić faces political pressure at home and Western concerns about Serbia's growing alignment with China.

Pakistan and China Firms Sign $7 Billion Investment Deals
Worldexpress-tribune2mo ago

Pakistan and China Firms Sign $7 Billion Investment Deals

Pakistani and Chinese firms have signed investment deals worth $7 billion during a business-to-business conference in Hangzhou, where Pakistan's Prime Minister highlighted opportunities in the agriculture and mineral sectors.

US Launches 'Project Freedom' in Hormuz Amid Iran Tensions
BusinessReutersbloombergNYT+72wsjFTle-mondeThe GuardianAl Jazeeradr-dkFox Newscnbc+64 more3mo ago75 sources

US Launches 'Project Freedom' in Hormuz Amid Iran Tensions

The US has launched "Project Freedom" to ensure navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, with Pentagon chief Hegseth stating the US will provide overwatch for peaceful vessels and denying Iran's control over the strait. This comes amidst rising tensions and threats from President Trump, while the Pentagon insists a ceasefire with Iran still holds.

China's DeepSeek Slashes Prices for New AI Model Amid Price War
BusinessReutersbloomberghotnews+7straits-timesndtvvijesti-meseeking-alphacaixin-globalRapplerzerohedge3mo ago10 sources

China's DeepSeek Slashes Prices for New AI Model Amid Price War

Chinese AI company DeepSeek has drastically cut the fees for its new V4-Pro AI model, with some reports indicating a 75% reduction. This move comes as the company aims to drive adoption and navigate an intense price war within China's fast-evolving artificial intelligence market.

Israel and Lebanon Extend Ceasefire After US Talks
PoliticsAPReutersBBC+111bloombergNYTwsjFTle-mondewapoThe GuardianNPR+103 more3mo ago114 sources

Israel and Lebanon Extend Ceasefire After US Talks

Israel and Lebanon have agreed to extend their ceasefire, reportedly by three weeks, following discussions facilitated by the United States. This extension comes amidst hopes for a potential peace deal in the region.

Businessbloombergstraits-times3mo ago2 sources

US House to Consider Penalties for Chinese AI Model Copying

The U.S. House of Representatives is set to consider legislation that would impose penalties on Chinese firms found to be copying American artificial intelligence models. This move aims to address intellectual property concerns and protect U.S. technological innovation.

Taiwan Opposition Leader Cheng Li-wun Accepts Xi Jinping's Invitation to Visit China in April
WorldAPReutersbloomberg+24NYTberlingskeDWle-figaroSCMPNHK Worlddie-pressedigi24+16 more4mo ago27 sources

Taiwan Opposition Leader Cheng Li-wun Accepts Xi Jinping's Invitation to Visit China in April

The leader of Taiwan's main opposition party, Kuomintang (KMT) chairperson Cheng Li-wun, has accepted an invitation from Chinese leader Xi Jinping to visit China in April, marking the first such visit in a decade amidst a high-stakes drama where Donald Trump has paused support for the island.

Why US money may not be enough to break China’s rare earths dominance
BusinessSCMP5mo ago

Why US money may not be enough to break China’s rare earths dominance

The United States was out in force in Cape Town this month, throwing down a direct challenge to China at Africa’s biggest mining conference, the Investing in African Mining Indaba. While Chinese firms showed their technological leadership with automation and green energy solutions, officials from the State Department, the Department of Energy and several US development agencies were among the record number of American diplomats and financiers at the event in South Africa. Analysts said the US...

Chinese AI Boom Drives Up Hong Kong Data Center Prices
Businessjapan-times6d ago

Chinese AI Boom Drives Up Hong Kong Data Center Prices

The surge in China's artificial intelligence sector, partly fueled by companies like DeepSeek, has led to a significant increase in data center prices in Hong Kong as Chinese firms use the city to test models and expand globally.

US Expands Blacklist of Chinese Firms Over Xinjiang Forced Labor Allegations
WorldSCMPla-vanguardiachannel-news-asia12d ago3 sources

US Expands Blacklist of Chinese Firms Over Xinjiang Forced Labor Allegations

The United States added 43 Chinese companies to its blacklist over alleged forced labor in Xinjiang, expanding its veto on exports. China's Commerce Ministry denied the accusations, while some international figures, like Chile's Kast, continued to court China despite the US tariffs.

Trump Threatens Iran with Decimation Over Alleged Assassination Plot
WorldBBCbloombergNYT+58le-mondeAl JazeeraFox Newsnrknzznosruvtagesschau+50 more1mo ago61 sources

Trump Threatens Iran with Decimation Over Alleged Assassination Plot

Donald Trump stated that the US would "completely decimate" Iran if it attempted to assassinate him, claiming that a ceasefire was over and 1,000 missiles were aimed at the country. These threats came amid ongoing tensions and discussions about a potential assassination plot.

OpenAI and Google Accused of Selling AI Models to Blacklisted Chinese Firms
PoliticsFThelsingin-sanomatrzeczpospolita+2il-sole-24-oreseeking-alpha1mo ago5 sources

OpenAI and Google Accused of Selling AI Models to Blacklisted Chinese Firms

A report indicates that OpenAI and Google have been providing their advanced AI models to Chinese companies that are on the Pentagon's blacklist. This practice raises concerns about the transfer of sensitive technology to entities deemed a national security risk by the United States.

US and Iran Sign Memorandum to End War, Fuel Prices React
WorldBBCbloombergNYT+59wapoThe GuardianNPRAl JazeeraFox Newsnrknzzcnbc+51 more1mo ago62 sources

US and Iran Sign Memorandum to End War, Fuel Prices React

US officials announced that President Trump and Iranian representatives have electronically signed a memorandum of understanding to end the war between the two nations. The agreement has led to discussions about its impact on global fuel prices, though some skepticism remains.

China Expresses Strong Dissatisfaction Over Pentagon's Military Firm List
Politicsbloombergcnbcindex-hr+6Yahoojutarnji-listTimes of Indiaindian-expressn1-bihchannel-news-asia2mo ago9 sources

China Expresses Strong Dissatisfaction Over Pentagon's Military Firm List

China has voiced strong dissatisfaction with the Pentagon's decision to expand its list of Chinese technology firms allegedly working with the Chinese military, including companies like BYD and Alibaba. Beijing warned against retaliation and stated its firm opposition to the US move.

Serbian Opposition Leader Alleges Overpriced Chinese Contracts
Politicsn1-serbiadanas2mo ago2 sources

Serbian Opposition Leader Alleges Overpriced Chinese Contracts

Serbian opposition leader Dragan Đilas has alleged that Chinese firms in Serbia have received contracts worth over 20 billion euros, with prices two to four times higher than their value in China and the EU. He claims these deals are significantly overpriced.

US Pentagon Adds Alibaba, BYD, and Other Chinese Firms to Military Company List
PoliticsBBCbloombergFT+27The GuardianNPRAl Jazeeracnbcnosle-figaroSCMPder-standard+19 more2mo ago30 sources

US Pentagon Adds Alibaba, BYD, and Other Chinese Firms to Military Company List

The U.S. Pentagon has added several major Chinese companies, including Alibaba, Baidu, and BYD, to a list of firms it alleges are collaborating with or supporting the Chinese military. This designation could lead to further restrictions and scrutiny from the U.S. government.

WorldDaily Star BD2mo ago

Relocating Chinese firms

The article discusses the relocation of Chinese firms, likely exploring the reasons and implications behind such movements.

Indonesia Defends Policies Amid Complaints from Chinese Firms
Businesschannel-news-asia3mo ago

Indonesia Defends Policies Amid Complaints from Chinese Firms

Indonesia's finance minister Purbaya is defending the country's policies after Chinese businesses lodged a complaint with President Prabowo Subianto, citing increased costs and uncertainty due to shifts in mining, export earnings, and enforcement.

Madonna, Shakira, BTS to Headline First World Cup Final Halftime Show
CultureBBCbloombergNYT+61FTThe GuardianAl JazeeraFox Newscbccnbcruvfaz+53 more3mo ago64 sources

Madonna, Shakira, BTS to Headline First World Cup Final Halftime Show

Madonna, Shakira, and K-pop sensation BTS have been announced as the headliners for the inaugural Super Bowl-style halftime show at the FIFA World Cup final. This marks a new entertainment tradition for the global football tournament.

China Blocks US Sanctions on Five 'Teapot' Refineries Over Iran Oil
BusinessReutersbloombergAl Jazeera+12Yahoohotnewsstraits-timesnaftemporikichannel-news-asiabalkan-webnewsbeastchina-daily+4 more3mo ago15 sources

China Blocks US Sanctions on Five 'Teapot' Refineries Over Iran Oil

China's Commerce Ministry has officially blocked US sanctions targeting five Chinese 'teapot' refineries accused of buying Iranian oil. This move instructs Chinese firms to ignore the American penalties, signaling Beijing's defiance against Washington's efforts to curb Iran's oil exports.

US Offers $10 Million Reward for Iran-Backed Iraqi Militia Leader
PoliticsAPReutersbloomberg+86NYTwsjFTle-mondeThe GuardianNPRAl Jazeeranrk+78 more3mo ago89 sources

US Offers $10 Million Reward for Iran-Backed Iraqi Militia Leader

The United States has offered a $10 million reward for information leading to the leader of an Iran-backed Iraqi armed group, identified as Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada. This bounty targets the head of the Shiite militia, which Washington considers a terrorist organization.

India Dismisses Reports of Oil Payment Issues with Iran Amid Resumed Purchases
BusinessDWSCMPsvenska-dagbladet+7YahooTimes of Indiahindustan-timesindian-expressklix-bandtvnewsbeast4mo ago10 sources

India Dismisses Reports of Oil Payment Issues with Iran Amid Resumed Purchases

India, the world's third-biggest oil importer, has dismissed reports of payment issues with Iran, stating that changes in vessel destinations are common in global oil trade, following its first purchase of Iranian oil in seven years.

Why the ‘China threat’ was barely mentioned in Germany’s latest state election
PoliticsSCMP5mo ago

Why the ‘China threat’ was barely mentioned in Germany’s latest state election

Baden-Wurttemberg stands on the front line of Germany’s “China shock 2.0”. A hub for carmakers including Mercedes-Benz, the region has faced a wave of job cuts over the past year as Chinese firms rapidly gain global market share. In the German media, some have warned the area risks becoming “Germany’s Detroit”. Yet despite the economic strain – and polls showing the economy was the top issue for local voters – China barely featured in campaigns during the run-up to Baden-Wurttemberg’s state...

US considers capping Nvidia H200 sales at 75,000 per Chinese customer
TechnologybloombergSCMPseeking-alpha5mo ago3 sources

US considers capping Nvidia H200 sales at 75,000 per Chinese customer

US officials are considering caps on the number of AI accelerators Nvidia can export to any one Chinese company, which would further constrain the chipmaker’s re-entry into a crucial market. The Trump administration has talked about limiting Chinese firms to buying 75,000 of Nvidia’s H200 chips each, according to people familiar with the matter. Shipments of Advanced Micro Devices’ MI325 chips, which have similar capabilities, would also count towards a customer’s cap, the people said. These...

Revenue of top Chinese electronics firms in India falls for first time in a decade
BusinessTimes of India5mo ago

Revenue of top Chinese electronics firms in India falls for first time in a decade

Chinese smartphone giants like Xiaomi and Oppo are experiencing their first sales dip in India in a decade. Demand has shifted significantly towards premium devices, impacting brands dominant in the entry and mid-level segments. While Chinese firms still lead in unit sales, their market value share is declining, benefiting Apple and Samsung.

Futures, Global Markets Rise With US Markets Closed For President's Day
Financezerohedge5mo ago

Futures, Global Markets Rise With US Markets Closed For President's Day

Futures, Global Markets Rise With US Markets Closed For President's Day Stocks gained, bitcoin tumbled and bonds steadied after Friday's cool CPI data reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates on multiple occasions this year. With US markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday and mainland China’s markets closed for Lunar New Year holidays, trading was muted on Monday. As of 9:00am ET, futures on the S&P 500 added 0.4% and Europe’s Stoxx 600 index rose 0.4% as banking shares rebounded from a sharp decline last week. German bunds and Treasury futures were steady after US yields touched the lowest since December on Friday. The path of US interest rates remains in focus following Friday’s slower-than-expected US inflation print as traders fully price a Fed cut in July and the strong chance of a move in June.   “The backdrop for equities is positive post CPI,” said Andrea Gabellone, head of global equities at KBC Securities. At the same time, there could be “more dispersion ahead as sentiment around key AI-exposed sectors is still very critical,” he added.  That sentiment was echoed by other strategists seeking to distinguish between AI losers and winners. A JPMorgan Chase & Co. team led by Mislav Matejka urged caution on stocks at risk of AI-driven “cannibalization,” including software, business services and media companies. Meanwhile, banks are developing baskets to capitalize on the divergence: as we first reported last Thursday, Goldman launched a new basket of software stocks that goes long firms that will benefit from AI adoption, while shorting the companies whose workflows could be replaced. With AI disruption rippling through markets, a lot will come down to earnings resilience, in particular in the US.  “When you look at the current earnings season, the companies are showing 13% of growth,” Nataliia Lipikhina, head of EMEA equity strategy at JPMorgan, told Bloomberg TV. “Overall, this is the reason why we continue to be positive on the S&P.” Later this week, traders will be watching for ADP private payrolls numbers on Tuesday and the minutes from the Fed’s January meeting on Wednesday for a fresh read on the economy. European stocks gained with bank shares rebounding, after posting their biggest weekly decline since April on worries about disruption from artificial intelligence. The basic resources sector lags, with Norsk Hydro among Europe’s worst performers as both Goldman Sachs and RBC downgrade the stock. Stoxx 600 rises 0.4% to 620.26 with 253 members down, 336 up, and 11 unchanged. Here are some of the biggest movers on Monday:  NatWest shares rise as much as 4%, the most since October, as Citi analyst Andrew Coombs raises his price target on the UK bank to a Street-high. Seraphim Space shares rise as much as 9.2%, briefly hitting a new all-time high, after the space tech investment firm said the valuations of its four largest holdings increased over the final months of 2025. AECI shares rally as much as 6.1%, the most since July, after the South African commercial-explosives maker shared improved 2025 headline earnings per share guidance. Orsted shares rise as much as 3.8% after analysts at Kepler raise the recommendation to buy from hold over the Danish renewable energy firm’s outlook, despite ongoing uncertainty for the industry in the US. Norsk Hydro shares fall as much as 4.4%, extending Friday’s 5.9% earnings-triggered drop, after being downgraded at Goldman Sachs and RBC over disappointments and pricing pressures in the Norwegian aluminum company’s downstream business. Galderma shares slip as much as 2.2% after naming Luigi La Corte as its new chief financial officer following the news back in July that Thomas Dittrich was departing. Pinewood Technologies shares tumble as much as 32%, the most since April 2024, after Apax Partners said on Friday it will not proceed with a possible cash offer for the car dealership software provider. FlatexDEGIRO shares drop as much as 7.2% after BNP Paribas downgraded the online brokerage firm to neutral from outperform, saying the price reflects too much optimism about its market position in Germany. Maurel & Prom shares slump as much as 12%, pulling back after ending last week at a 2015-high, after announcing it is not currently authorized to resume oil and gas operations in Venezuela. Barratt Redrow shares fall as much as 3.7%, leading a drop in British homebuilders after Rightmove said house prices are stalling. Asian stocks slipped for a second day, led by declines in Japan as traders booked profits after last week’s post-election rally. Several markets were closed or held shortened trading sessions for the Lunar New Year holiday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index was down 0.1%. Japan’s Topix Index fell 0.8%, with Mizuho Financial Group Inc. and Toyota Motor Corp. among the companies contributing to the index’s losses.In Hong Kong, AI model developer Minimax Group Inc. surged as much as 30% to more than four times its original listing price, while competitor Knowledge Atlas JSC Ltd. ended 4.7% higher. The market will be closed until Thursday. As investors across the region begin to reevaluate their bets on its artificial-intelligence-driven rally, traders in Japan cashed in gains driven by expectations of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s proactive spending policies last week.Trading in Singapore ended early Monday and will be shut until Wednesday. Equity markets in mainland China, South Korea, Indonesia and Vietnam were closed.  In FX, the yen is the notable mover in currencies, weakening 0.5% against the dollar and pushing USD/JPY back above 153. The offshore yuan is one of the better performers against the greenback. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rises 0.1%. There is no cash trading in Treasuries due to the Presidents’ Day holiday. European government bonds are little changed In commdities, gold dipped below $5,000 an ounce, as traders booked profits from a gain in the previous session. Bitcoin tried anf ailed to stage a modest rebound; it last traded around $68,275 after posting its fourth consecutive weekly loss, with the cryptocurrency struggling to find clear direction as a weekend rally fizzled once the momentum ignition algos emerged.  WTI crude futures tread water near $62.90 a barrel.  Top Headlines President Trump said there will be voter ID rules in the mid-term elections this year, whether Congress approves it or not, and they will present a legal argument in an Executive Order. Furthermore, Trump said he has searched the depths of legal arguments not yet articulated nor vetted on this subject, and they will be presenting an irrefutable one in the very near future. Iran says potential energy, mining and aircraft deals on table in talks with US: RTRS Pentagon threatened to cut its ties with Anthropic over the company’s insistence that some limitations are kept on how the military uses its AI models: RTRS UK eyes rapid ban on social media for under 16s, curbs to AI chatbots: RTRS Rampant AI Demand for Memory Is Fueling a Growing Chip Crisis: BBG Warner Bros. Weighs Reopening Sale Negotiations With Paramount: BBG Companies Are Replacing CEOs in Record Numbers—and They’re Getting Younger: WSJ Europe aims to rely less on US defence after Trump's Greenland push: RTRS DOJ Tells Lawmakers Epstein File Redactions Complied With LawL BBG For College Applicants, Pressure to Make Summers Count Has Gotten Even Worse: WSJ Fed's Goolsbee (2027 voter) said on Friday that they are still seeing pretty high services inflation, and he hopes they have seen the peak impact of tariffs, while he added that the job market has been steady, with only modest cooling.  The Break Is Over. Companies Are Jacking Up Prices Again: WSJ Trade/Tariffs USTR Greer said the US and Ecuador expect to sign a trade agreement in the coming weeks. China will waive import value-added taxes on selected seeds, genetic resources, and police dogs through to 2030 to increase agricultural competitiveness and breeding capacity. It was also reported that China will grant zero-tariff access to 53 African nations from May 1st, according to Bloomberg. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his French and German counterparts that China and the EU are partners, not rivals, while he added that China and the EU should manage differences, deepen practical cooperation and work together on global challenges. A more detailed look at global markets courtesy of Newsquawk APAC stocks began the week in the green but with gains limited following a lack of major fresh catalysts from over the weekend and amid thinned conditions owing to holiday closures in the region and North America. ASX 200 traded marginally higher with upside led by tech, although gains are capped by underperformance in the utilities, mining, materials and resources sectors, while participants also digested a slew of earnings releases. Nikkei 225 traded indecisively with the index constrained by disappointing Japanese preliminary Q4 GDP data, which showed the economy returned to growth but failed to meet expectations with GDP Q/Q at 0.1% (exp. 0.4%), and annualised GDP at 0.2% (exp. 1.6%). Hang Seng finished higher in a shortened trading session on Chinese New Year's Eve but with upside limited by tech weakness amid some confusion after the Pentagon added several companies including Baidu, Cosco, BYD, Huawei, Nio, SMIC, Tencent, and more to a list of Chinese firms aiding the military on Friday, but then withdrew the updated list shortly after it was posted. Furthermore, price action was also restricted by the closure of mainland markets and the absence of stock connect flows, which will remain shut for more than a week. US equity futures kept afloat in quiet trade amid the absence of drivers and participants. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Friday. Asian Headlines Chinese President Xi called for the anchoring of economic growth around domestic demand as its main driver, in a speech during a key policy meeting late last year that was released on Sunday. China is to establish a permanent financial support framework to promote rural revitalisation and prevent a slide back into poverty, which represents a shift from transitional aid to long-term support. China’s market regulator summoned major online platform companies on Friday, including Alibaba, Douyin and Meituan, while it directed them to comply with laws and regulations, and rein in promotional practices, according to Bloomberg. US Secretary of State Rubio and Japanese Foreign Minister Motegi reaffirmed their commitment to deepen bilateral ties. Disney (DIS) sent a ‘cease and desist’ letter to ByteDance over Seedance 2.0 and alleged that ByteDance has been infringing on its IP to train and develop an AI video generation model without compensation, according to Axios. It was later reported that ByteDance said it would curb its AI video app following Disney's legal threats, according to the BBC. RBI tightened rules for loans provided to brokers and proprietary firms in an effort to reduce market speculation FX DXY eked slight gains in rangebound trade after a lack of major catalysts and with US participants away on Monday. EUR/USD was little changed amid the absence of any major macro catalysts and with light newsflow from the bloc, while comments from ECB President Lagarde and news that the ECB is to make its repo backstop available to other central banks across the world, did little to spur price action. GBP/USD held on to most of Friday's spoils but with price action contained by resistance around 1.3650 and following comments from BoE's Mann that the UK economy is sluggish and tepid, with consumers spending less due to being scarred by high inflation. USD/JPY edged higher and returned to above the 153.00 level in the aftermath of the weaker-than-expected preliminary Q4 GDP data for Japan. Antipodeans were mixed with little fresh macro drivers and a lack of tier-1 data from either side of the Tasman. Fixed Income 10yr UST futures traded little changed and held on to last week's spoils after returning above the 113.00 level in the aftermath of the softer US inflation data, while price action was contained to start the week by the closure of US cash markets for Washington's Birthday. Bund futures lacked demand in the absence of any major catalysts and with light newsflow from the bloc. 10yr JGB futures were marginally higher following disappointing preliminary GDP data for Q4, but with gains limited after failing to sustain a brief reclaim of the 132.00 level. Commodities Crude futures were rangebound amid light energy-specific newsflow from over the weekend and after last Friday's indecisive performance, where attention was on a source report that noted OPEC+ is leaning towards resuming oil output hikes from April, but with no decision made. Slovak PM Fico said he has information that the Druzhba pipeline has been fixed after damage in Ukraine, although he believes that supplies to Hungary and Slovakia have become a part of political blackmail. Spot gold took a breather after edging higher in the aftermath of the recent softer-than-expected US inflation data, with price action also contained by the holiday closures across Asia and North America. Copper futures were subdued, with their largest buyer away for more than a week due to the Chinese New Year/Spring Festival holiday. Texas venture-backed startup Hertha Metal vowed mass production of steel with 25% cost savings, which could reduce US reliance on imports. Geopolitics: Middle East US military is preparing for potential operations against Iran that could last for weeks if US President Trump orders an attack and the US fully expects Iran to retaliate, according to sources cited by Reuters. US President Trump told Israeli PM Netanyahu during a meeting in December that he would support Israel striking Iran’s ballistic missile program if the US and Iran are not able to reach a deal, according to CBS. Iran confirmed that indirect talks between the US and Iran will resume in Geneva on Tuesday under the mediation of Oman, while Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi left for Geneva on Sunday. Iranian diplomat said Iran is open to nuclear deal compromises if the US discusses lifting sanctions, while it was also reported that Iran said potential energy, mining and aircraft deals are on the table in talks with the US. Israel’s cabinet approved the proposal to register West Bank lands as ‘state property’, while Palestinians condemned the ‘de facto annexation’ which Peace Now said likely amounts to a ‘mega land grab’. Geopolitics: Ukraine US President Trump said on Friday that Ukrainian President Zelensky is going to have to get moving and that Russia wants to get a deal. US Secretary of State Rubio said they don’t know if Russia is serious about finding an end to the war in Ukraine and will continue to test it, while it was reported that he met with Ukrainian President Zelensky on security and deepening defence and economic partnerships. Ukrainian drones targeted Russia’s Taman seaport and fuel tanks in the Black Sea region. UK and European allies were reported on Friday to be weighing seizing Russian shadow fleet ships and tightening curbs on Russia's economy. French Foreign Minister Barrot said some G7 nations have expressed a willingness to proceed with a maritime services ban on Russian oil, which they hope to include in the 20th sanctions package that they are actively preparing. Geopolitics: Other European Commission President von der Leyen said that they face the very distinct threat of outside forces trying to weaken their union, while she added that mutual defence is not an optional task for the European Union; it is an obligation within their own treaty, and it is their collective commitment to stand by each other in case of aggression. Pentagon said the US military struck an alleged drug cartel boat in the Caribbean, which killed three people. DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnigt wrap I hope you all had a good weekend. To stay in Winter Olympics mood the family watched "Cool Runnings" last night. I haven't seen it for 32 years. Please don't tell anyone but I had a few tears in my eyes at the end. I blamed it on the hay fever that has now started. There will be a lot of tears out there in markets for other reasons at the moment. Just two weeks ago, the idea of AI-driven disruption still felt like an abstract, almost academic thought experiment—something we could safely revisit once we had clearer evidence of how AI would be deployed and integrated across the economy. Fast forward 14 days, and markets have wiped out well over a trillion dollars of global equity value on the fear that AI could fundamentally reshape business models and compress profitability across a wide range of industries, including software, legal services, IT consulting, wealth management, logistics, insurance, real estate brokerage and commercial real estate. Some of the sell off in “old economy” sectors feels overdone to me. But as I argued in our 2026 World Outlook back in November, the real challenge is that even by the end of this year we still won’t have enough evidence to identify the structural winners and losers with confidence. That leaves plenty of room for investors’ imaginations—both optimistic and pessimistic—to run wild. As such big sentiment swings will continue to be the order of the day. My instinct is that the reaction in things like commercial real estate, for example, has been particularly exaggerated. Markets seem to be extrapolating a scenario in which vast numbers of white collar workers are made redundant almost overnight, leading to a dramatic collapse in office demand. If that view turns out to be correct, we’ll be facing societal challenges far larger than anything currently being priced into equities. While trying to catch a falling knife may be too risky for many, beginning to cushion the descent could be sensible in many old economy sectors. Markets can’t sustain a disruption narrative across multiple sectors for months or quarters without concrete evidence — and that evidence is likely to take much longer to emerge. Fascinating times. As for this week, today is a US holiday but inflation will remain in the spotlight at a global level after Friday's slightly softer US CPI which helped contribute to a decent rates rally to end the week. Prints are due in the US (PCE - Friday), the UK (Wednesday), Canada (Tuesday) and Japan (Friday). Other economic highlights will include the FOMC minutes (Wednesday), Q4 GDP in the US (Friday), as well as the global flash PMIs (Friday). Earnings reports will feature Walmart (Thursday), Nestlé (Thursday) and BHP (today). It's the earnings calm before next week's Nvidia storm. In the US, this holiday shortened week (President's Day today) features a data calendar dominated by releases that were pushed back by last year’s government shutdown. The most consequential updates will land on Friday, when the advance estimate of Q4 GDP arrives alongside December’s personal income and consumption figures—key inputs for shaping expectations for the early part of this year. For markets assessing the underlying pulse of demand heading into 2026, private final sales to domestic purchasers (PFDP) will carry more weight than the headline GDP print. This indicator—closely monitored by Fed Chair Powell—is expected by our economists to slow to 2.0% from 2.9% in Q3, though risks appear tilted upward. One swing factor: Wednesday’s durable goods report, where modest gains outside of transportation could soften the deceleration. On the consumer front, real PCE growth is expected to cool to 2.5% after two quarters of outsized strength but should still signal ample momentum heading into the new year. Friday’s income and spending report will also offer the latest reading on core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Our economists expect another 0.4% monthly increase for December, lifting the year over year rate to 2.9%. Updated seasonal factors from last week’s CPI release suggest some mild downward pressure on inflation trends in the second half of 2025. Still, January’s CPI data, although softer than we anticipated, do not translate into equivalent relief for core PCE—in fact, our team currently sees another 0.4% gain for January's release (delayed until March 13th). Depending on the strength of medical services, airfare, and portfolio management components in the upcoming PPI report, a 0.5% monthly rise cannot be ruled out, which would push the year over year rate toward 3.1%. So don't get too excited about the softer CPI last week and the huge rates rally. Additional releases this week will help clarify whether recent severe winter weather has disrupted factory sector activity. January industrial production, due Wednesday, should benefit from a jump in utility output, while weather effects may weigh on the Empire State Survey tomorrow and the Philadelphia Fed survey on Thursday. Labor market data will also be in focus, particularly Thursday’s jobless claims, which line up with the survey week for the February employment report. As our economists have pointed out, private nonfarm job gains have averaged 103k over the past three months, slightly above the pace at this point in 2025 and matching the start of 2024. See their latest US employment chartbook here. This week will also feature a dense lineup of Federal Reserve speakers which you can see alongside all the key global data in the day-by-day week ahead calendar at the end as usual. Moving away from the US, inflation will also be in focus in Japan (Friday) and Canada (tomorrow). For the former, our Chief Japan Economist sees the January nationwide CPI showing a slowdown in both core CPI inflation ex. fresh food to 2.1% YoY (+2.4% in December) and core-core CPI inflation ex. fresh food and energy to 2.7% (+2.9%). Also important will be the global flash PMIs due on Friday as a health check on global growth. In Europe, the spotlight will be on UK inflation (Wednesday), with labour market data due tomorrow and retail sales on Friday. Our UK economist expects headline CPI inflation to drop to 3.0% YoY (3.4% in December) and core CPI also landing at 3.0% YoY (3.2% YoY). See more in his full preview here. In terms of key rate decisions, the RBNZ are expected to remain on hold on Wednesday. Finally, the Munich Security Conference wrapped up over the weekend, where key topics included Ukraine, Russia, and the fate of Greenland. And while US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s speech was nothing like Vice President JD Vance’s at last year’s conference, which triggered a “wake-up” call for European leaders, Rubio reiterated the administration’s view that Europe needed to leave behind its focus on energy policies, trade and mass migration. Recapping last week now, the tech volatility that has dogged markets since the start of the month broadened into a far more indiscriminate sell-off. The trough came on Thursday, marked by a sharp drop in software stocks, but the weakness extended well beyond tech. Companies across wealth management, real estate and financials suffered double digit declines, underscoring how widespread the pullback has become. Market breadth confirmed this shift as the equal weighted S&P 500 fell -1.37% on Thursday, though it managed to finish the week up +0.29% (+1.04% on Friday). Ultimately, the sell-off left the major US indices on the back foot: the S&P 500 slipped -1.39% (+0.05% on Friday), the Nasdaq lost -2.10% (-0.22% on Friday), and the Magnificent 7 slid -3.24% (-1.11% on Friday). Although the AI scare dominated sentiment, a heavy slate of US data also shaped the market narrative. Early in the week, softer prints—including flat December retail sales, a dovish Q4 Employment Cost Index, and slower Q4 growth expectations from the Atlanta Fed—pushed Treasury yields lower across the curve. That picture shifted midweek after a stronger than expected January jobs report, which delivered the largest gain in nonfarm payrolls (+130k vs. +65k expected) since December 2024 and reinforced confidence that the US economy carried solid momentum into 2026. Then on Friday, January CPI came in below expectations, adding another dovish note. Although the data offered mixed signals at times, the overall takeaway was sufficiently dovish for traders to increase the number of expected rate cuts by December 2026 to 63.4bps (+7.7bps on the week). This helped drive the largest weekly drop in the 10 year Treasury yield since August 2025, down -15.8bps (-5.0bps on Friday) to 4.05%. The 2 year yield also moved sharply lower, falling -8.9bps to 3.41% (-4.8bps on Friday), its lowest level since 2022. European markets, meanwhile, delivered a comparatively resilient performance. The STOXX 600 (+0.09%, -0.13% Friday), DAX (+0.78%, +0.25% Friday) and FTSE 100 (+0.74%, +0.42% Friday) all posted modest gains for the week. European sovereign bonds rallied as well, with the 10 year bund yield dropping -8.7bps—its steepest weekly decline since April 2025. That move was outpaced by gilts, which fell -9.8bps (-3.6bps on Friday) despite a sharp early week sell-off triggered by renewed questions surrounding Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s position. Elsewhere, performance was mixed. Brent crude edged down -0.44% (+0.34% on Friday), while gold extended its upward run, rising +1.56% (+2.43% on Friday). Will London’s half term week finally give us a quiet week in 2026? You’d probably have to guess at ‘unlikely’. Tyler Durden Mon, 02/16/2026 - 09:40

China Accuses US of 'AI Hegemonism,' Threatens Countermeasures
Politicscnbcder-standardYahoo+6indian-expressjapan-timesndtvRapplerhk-free-pressexpress-tribune16d ago9 sources

China Accuses US of 'AI Hegemonism,' Threatens Countermeasures

China has accused the United States of 'AI hegemonism' and threatened countermeasures in response to potential US probes into Chinese firms. Beijing claims US companies are training AI models using Chinese examples, escalating a new front in US-China tensions.

Nvidia Begins Shipping H200 AI Chips to China
BusinessRappler29d ago

Nvidia Begins Shipping H200 AI Chips to China

A US official has confirmed that Nvidia has started shipping its powerful H200 AI chips to China, with telecoms gear maker ZTE Corp and two other Chinese firms receiving US approval for these advanced chips.

China Allows AI Firms to Purchase Nvidia H200 Chips
BusinessSCMPjapan-times1mo ago2 sources

China Allows AI Firms to Purchase Nvidia H200 Chips

China is now allowing its domestic AI companies to purchase Nvidia H200 chips, a move that could be a game-changer for the country's AI development. This decision marks a significant shift in policy regarding advanced chip access for Chinese firms.

China's Influence on African Ports Expands to Software and AI
WorldSCMP1mo ago

China's Influence on African Ports Expands to Software and AI

A new study reveals that Chinese firms not only operate, finance, or hold stakes in about a third of African ports but also control the software, automation, and AI tools that run this critical infrastructure, extending Beijing's reach beyond physical assets.

Supreme Court Expands Presidential Power to Fire Agency Heads, Rules on Mail-in Ballots
WorldBBCbloombergNYT+82FTle-mondewapoThe GuardianNPRAl Jazeeradr-dkFox News+74 more1mo ago85 sources

Supreme Court Expands Presidential Power to Fire Agency Heads, Rules on Mail-in Ballots

The US Supreme Court has expanded the President's power to fire top officials across federal agencies, with the notable exception of the Federal Reserve, ruling in favor of Trump in an FTC case. Separately, the court upheld late mail-in ballots in Mississippi, a decision that drew criticism from former President Trump, who also lost an appeal regarding a sexual assault and defamation judgment.

Chinese Firms Eye Ho Chi Minh City's Metro Expansion
BusinessVnExpress1mo ago

Chinese Firms Eye Ho Chi Minh City's Metro Expansion

China Pacific Construction Group has signed an agreement to explore participation in Ho Chi Minh City's 200 km metro expansion project. This marks the second major Chinese company in two weeks to show interest in the system, which has primarily been built by Japan.

Pentagon's Expanded Blacklist of Chinese Firms Impacts Xi's US Visit
WorldSCMP2mo ago

Pentagon's Expanded Blacklist of Chinese Firms Impacts Xi's US Visit

The Pentagon's newly expanded blacklist of Chinese military-linked companies has tested the fragile stability reached at last month’s summit, highlighting persistent intense competition despite recent efforts to ease bilateral tensions and potentially affecting Xi's US visit.

US Strikes Iranian Military Sites, Iran Retaliates with Missile Attacks
BusinessReutersBBCbloomberg+58NYTwsjThe GuardianNPRAl JazeeraFox Newscnbcnos+50 more2mo ago61 sources

US Strikes Iranian Military Sites, Iran Retaliates with Missile Attacks

The United States launched strikes against Iranian military targets on Goruk and Qeshm Island, citing self-defense after a drone was shot down. In retaliation, Iran reportedly hit an air base and Kuwait was struck by missiles and drones.

British Tourist Dies in Zakynthos Villa Pool
WorldBBCberlingskeglobe-and-mail+27France 24publicodelfi-ltThe Independentindex-hrobservadorYahoo24ur+19 more3mo ago30 sources

British Tourist Dies in Zakynthos Villa Pool

A British female tourist was found dead in the swimming pool of a tourist villa in Zakynthos, Greece. Authorities have launched an investigation into the circumstances surrounding her death.

US Clears Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to 10 Chinese Firms
BusinessDaily Sabahgeo-news3mo ago2 sources

US Clears Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to 10 Chinese Firms

The United States has reportedly approved the sale of Nvidia's advanced H200 chips to ten Chinese companies. This decision comes as Nvidia's CEO seeks breakthroughs in the Chinese market despite ongoing tech tensions.

Chinese Firms Benefit from Persian Gulf War Energy Crisis
Businessrzeczpospolita3mo ago

Chinese Firms Benefit from Persian Gulf War Energy Crisis

Chinese companies are reportedly benefiting from the energy crisis triggered by the war in the Persian Gulf, while the European Commission plans to increase free CO2 emission allowances to support industry. The article also notes a decrease in alcohol consumption among Poles.

Nigeria Grapples With Fuel Shortage, Approves Infrastructure Projects
Worldindian-expressdanaspunch-ng+1vanguard-ng3mo ago4 sources

Nigeria Grapples With Fuel Shortage, Approves Infrastructure Projects

Nigeria is facing concerns over aviation fuel shortages, while the government has approved strategic public-private partnership infrastructure projects and mandated drug tests for secondary school students. Separately, the NDLEA has uncovered a drug stash house and made arrests in drug trafficking cases.

Inquest into Chimamanda Adichie's Son's Death Suspended
Worldjerusalem-postPremium TimesVnExpress+3punch-ngvanguard-ngmyjoyonline3mo ago6 sources

Inquest into Chimamanda Adichie's Son's Death Suspended

A coroner has suspended the inquest into the death of Nigerian author Chimamanda Adichie's son, amid allegations of interference by the Lagos Attorney General. The court halted proceedings as the Attorney General denied any involvement.

NNPC Signs Deal with Chinese Firms to Revive Nigerian Refineries
PoliticsPremium Timespunch-ngvanguard-ng3mo ago3 sources

NNPC Signs Deal with Chinese Firms to Revive Nigerian Refineries

The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Chinese firms to facilitate the restart and expansion of the Warri and Port Harcourt refineries. This agreement aims to revive and improve the operational capacity of these key facilities.

Gunman at White House Dinner Targeted Trump Officials
WorldAPBBCbloomberg+87NYTwsjFTwapoThe GuardianNPRFox Newsnzz+79 more3mo ago90 sources

Gunman at White House Dinner Targeted Trump Officials

A gunman at the White House Correspondents' Dinner was reportedly targeting President Trump and his administration officials, prompting an evacuation and raising security concerns. The incident led to discussions about event security and the safety of high-profile attendees.

US State Dept Issues Global Warning on Alleged Chinese AI Theft
WorldReutersindian-expressstraits-times3mo ago3 sources

US State Dept Issues Global Warning on Alleged Chinese AI Theft

The US State Department has ordered a global warning regarding alleged artificial intelligence intellectual property theft by Chinese firms, specifically naming DeepSeek and others. This action highlights concerns over national security and economic implications.

Trump Announces Three-Week Extension of Israel-Lebanon Truce
PoliticsAPReutersBBC+85bloombergNYTeconomistwsjFTle-mondewapoThe Guardian+77 more3mo ago88 sources

Trump Announces Three-Week Extension of Israel-Lebanon Truce

US President Donald Trump announced that the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has been extended for an additional three weeks. Trump also stated that Israel retains the right to launch attacks, emphasizing they would be careful.

US Focuses on Iran Amidst China's Constraints on Taiwan
PoliticsAPReutersNYT+57wsjle-mondewapoNPRCNNFox Newsnosukrainska-pravda+49 more4mo ago60 sources

US Focuses on Iran Amidst China's Constraints on Taiwan

The United States is reportedly concentrating its foreign policy efforts on Iran, while China's President Xi Jinping faces limitations regarding actions concerning Taiwan.

‘We couldn’t reach them’: Chinese firms’ Iran business in limbo after strikes
BusinessSCMP5mo ago

‘We couldn’t reach them’: Chinese firms’ Iran business in limbo after strikes

Rising tensions in the Middle East following attacks on Iran are having an impact on the trade corridors and investment plans of Chinese exporters and investors, who had seen Iran and the broader region as crucial growth markets. Joint strikes on Iran by the United States and Israel since Saturday have left shipments stalled, payments delayed and clients unreachable, Chinese businesspeople said. For many of them, the disruption has been direct and immediate. David Xie, an executive at a...