Bond Market's Inflation Expectations Deemed Delusional

An analysis suggests the bond market's expectation of 2.4% average annual CPI over 10 years is unrealistically low, indicating a continued misjudgment of future inflation.

24 May, 07:15 — 24 May, 07:15

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wolf-streetMixed2h ago

10-Year TIPS v. 10-Year Treasury Securities: Bond Market Has Long Been Delusional about Actual CPI Inflation

There's no indication the bond market is better now in estimating future inflation; its expectation of 2.4% average annual CPI over 10 years seems woefully low.

By Wolf Richter

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Bond Market's Inflation Expectations Deemed Delusional

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10-Year TIPS v. 10-Year Treasury Securities: Bond Market Has Long Been Delusional about Actual CPI Inflation

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