Wage Growth Analyzed as Leading Inflation Indicator

An analysis suggests that wage growth serves as a leading indicator for inflation, with historical data showing it has preceded CPI by several months in past cycles. The May 4.2% inflation rate is examined in this context.

5 Jul, 13:20 — 5 Jul, 13:20

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zerohedgeLow60d ago

Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator

Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Wage growth peaked four years ago. Since 1985, it has led CPI by three to seventeen months in every single cycle. The May 4.2% inflation print is the noise. Watch the wages. Headline CPI just printed 4.2% year-over-year for May. The highest reading since April 2023. The 10-year Treasury punched above 4.6% on the back of it, then pulled back recently. Energy ran +23.5% over the...

By Tyler Durden

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Wage Growth Analyzed as Leading Inflation Indicator

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Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator

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